My machine is a 2024 MacBook Air M3 chip, MacOS Tahoe 26.6.2.
My Time Machine backups are stalling indefinitely. The current one has been stuck on 24% for the past four days. This wasn't happening a month ago. My hypothesis is that Time Machine is failing to delete the oldest backups, so there is insufficient space on my external hard drive for a new backup. Another thing that seems strange to me is that--if I'm reading it correctly--it seems be backing up approximately 485GB (118.5GB copied and only at 24.4%), but my hard drive only has 236GB in use.
Any help would be very much appreciated!